See live prediction market odds

Ask about elections, launches or aliens and get the live prediction market price, how much money is on it and when it closes.

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   @Firecrawl What are the odds the US confirms aliens exist this year? Use Firecrawl Alexandria to check the live prediction markets: the yes price, how much money is traded and when it closes.

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   What came back

   Claude Code (Claude Opus 5.5) sent back, word for word:

   Traders put it at about 4%. I checked Polymarket's live data through Firecrawl Alexandria, and its main market, "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?", trades at about 4.25¢ for "Yes."

   	Before 2027 (main market)	By October 31
   Yes price	4.25¢ (bid 4.2¢ / ask 4.3¢, last trade 4.3¢) → ~4%	0.55¢ → ~0.5%
   Total traded	~$42.3M	~$1.0M
   Traded in the last 24h	~$86K	~$15K
   Liquidity	~$535K	~$240K
   Closes	Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET	Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET

   • What counts as "Yes": the President, a Cabinet member, a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff or any US federal agency has to state definitively that extraterrestrial life or technology exists. Hearings, whistleblowers or UAP reports without that statement don't count.
   • Bigger picture: the whole event has traded about $74.4M across all its deadlines. The March, April, May, June and September markets all closed at "No," with about $31M traded between them.
   • Related market: "Trump declassifies new UFO files by Nov 30?" is at about 81% "Yes." That's a much easier bar than confirming aliens exist, and only about $3K has been traded on it.

   These prices were pulled on Oct 20, 2026 and will move.

   Sources usedPolymarket0 credits · Oct 20, 2026